Now that the parliamentary elections are over the focus will
shift to the Delhi assembly elections that should be held within the next few
months. After the poor showing in Delhi state for the parliamentary elections
the belief is that Arvind Kejriwal and AAP face an uphill fight just to remain
politically relevant. But, is that how
it should be?
Long and tough road ahead, but he needs to be given the chance. |
There’s no doubt that Kejriwal made a mistake in resigning
the Delhi CM post with such haste. The ‘united’ opposition have very clearly
outmaneuvered Kejriwal in the media and the public goodwill that he’d earned
with the spectacular showing in the Delhi assembly elections seems to have
dissipated.
Mr. Kejriwal seems to have been overwhelmed by the initial
success that came his way. Looking back we could say it was beginner’s luck.
Everyone was surprised with the strong show that the AAP put up in the December
elections in Delhi. Not much has been written/said about the psychological
effect that those results had on the general elections. But, in my mind, there
is no doubt that the AAP’s ascendancy sent out a strong message to the people
of this country that the Congress was a ‘spent’ force and voting for the old
establishment was a waste of time. If the people of Delhi, the bastion from
where the Congress has ruled over the country for most of the post-independence
era, had rejected the Grand Old Party for a small political upstart then the
rest of the nation was not going to give them another chance.
Kejriwal realized this and tried to capture this political
space that he’d created at a national level. The problem for him was manifold.
First of all he was up against a Modi juggernaut that had been planning and
preparing for precisely this moment for the last 12 years. Second, he didn’t
have the team/set-up to go all-out nationally and ended up spreading himself
too thin. And third, his little time in the CM’s office didn’t inspire enough
confidence in the people to see him as a credible alternative. Team Modi deftly captured the political space
created.
But all is not lost for Mr. Kejriwal and Co. The 4 seats
from Punjab are a spectacular result and only the most optimistic of AAP
supporters would have been upset by the national results. However, there is a lot of homework for the
AAP to do and they will need to do an objective analysis of what is required
and the time-frames in which they will be able to implement and achieve their
results.
First let me get in to why the AAP and Mr. Kejriwal are relevant
to the political future of this country. The AAP is a unique one-
of-its-kind political movement in the
country with absolutely no precedence of any sort. It’s a movement that has
sprung up from the general anti-pathy of the public towards the old establishment.
Its success reveals that there is a large section of the country that is fed-up
with the politics as usual approach. Success for the AAP, therefore will mean our
democracy would have matured and that it would be possible for a genuine
citizen of this country with absolutely no political lineage or association
with one of the known political outfits to make a difference in this country. It
will inspire and give greater confidence to the public to debate and actively
participate in the democratic process without any fear of back-lash. And whatever the image for Mr. Kejriwal in the
public eye at the moment there is no doubting his personal integrity.
Unfortunately, this quality is a rarity in our politics and it is political
capital that needs to be made most of.
But what exactly does AAP stand for? And this is the biggest
problem for Mr. Kejriwal. We know that the AAP is anti- corruption and anti-
crony- capitalism and anti- this and anti- that. But, what exactly is the AAP for?
This is the first point that has to be communicated clearly enough.
The AAP needs to sit-down and create a political manifesto
that broadly outlines its approach to the various issues of governance. Government
is not one-track and anti-corruption is not the one-plank/ one-issue- wonder
that is going to deliver political results for the AAP. The AAP has a fabulous
opportunity to prove its credentials in Punjab where the people of 4
constituencies have voted for it. They need to hit the ground running and
actually implement the promises made and deliver visible results. The people of
this country should be able to see what the AAP is for in these 4 regions by
2019. The national issues raised by these 4 parliamentarians also need be very
carefully thought out.
Another place where the AAP needs to get its act together is
PR. In the initial hype after the Delhi election results we had a whole lot of
celebrities, socialites and intellectuals jumping on the AAP bandwagon, only to
dump them post the Lok Sabha results. The AAP will need to be careful of who it
gives membership to and who speaks on its behalf. While it is good to have
membership open to anyone and everyone, a small check such as ensuring that
anyone who joins the party must do at least 3 months of volunteer work before
being given full membership will ensure only those that are actually interested
in making a change join the party. There
is no need to give membership to people who are only interested in media
sound-bytes. A lot of AAP member also seem to be suffering from foot-in-mouth
disease and that needs to be kept in check. Creating a political manifesto will
also give clarity to those who seek membership and there should be no awkward
moments with the media quoting two opposing views from within the AAP.
Arvind Kejriwal also needs to stop getting slapped! It sends
out the wrong image to the public. There is no easy way around this but
something has to be thought out. It is disgusting to see people behave in such
a manner but Mr. Kejriwal also needs to take care and not present himself as
such an easy target.
The AAP team will have to sit-down and chalk out their
strategy. Mr. Kejriwal will have to show much cunning and guile (qualities not
taught in IIT!) if he has to outwit the likes of Modi. He will need
street-smart managers and project implementers. And most importantly he will
have to come out of the ‘idealistic intellectual’ trap that he seems to have
created for himself and get down and practical about his politics. A realistic
target would be the 2024 national elections- preparations for which would have
to begin now! I wish him and the AAP all success.
Note: Author is a supporter of the BJP.